Tariffs
The multilateral trading system has reduced tariffs but not tariff escalation
Trade multilateralism plays a crucial role in fostering global economic stability, promoting inclusive growth, and ensuring a predictable trading environment. The WTOWorld Trade Organization has been undergoing reform discussions to address challenges such as dispute settlement inefficiencies, special and differential treatment for developing countries, and the need for updated trade rules in areas like digital tradeDigital Trade is “all international trade that is digitally ordered and/or digitally delivered. and sustainability. Strengthening multilateral cooperation remains essential to counter protectionism and to support a fair, rules-based global trading system. The report to the Sixteenth Conference of UNCTAD, emphasizes the need for enhanced multilateralism and a stronger UNCTAD role in global consensus-building, including UN-wide initiatives, regional and multinational organizations, and South-South cooperationBroad framework of collaboration among countries of the Global South in the political, economic, social, cultural, environmental and technical domains -—
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—-. SSC involves diverse domains in the global South, both financial (e.g., grants and concessional loans) and non-financial (training, technical cooperation, humanitarian assistance) modalities and is guided by principles such as horizontality, solidarity, respect for sovereignty, country ownership, complementarity, mutual benefit, equity, transparency, and accountability -—
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—-. Data on related issues like trade and FDI among the global South are also provided by UNCTAD. frameworks, such as GSTPGlobal System of Trade Preferences among developing countries, AfCFTAAfrican Continental Free Trade Area, the G20Group of Twenty and ASEANAssociation of Southeast Asian Nations -—
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Two-thirds of world trade is tariff-free, but significant duties remain in agriculture and industry
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—- It applies to imports from trading partners-members of the World Trade Organization (WTO), unless the country has a preferential trade agreement. It is the lowest possible tariff a country can assess on another country. and preferential accessPreferential access refers to reduced or zero tariffs granted to specific countries or products under trade agreements (e.g., free trade agreements, GSP schemes). It allows goods to enter markets under better conditions than standard MFN tariffs.. However, tariffs on the remaining trade can be high. Agricultural products are mainly tariff-free largely due to preferential access and reciprocal concession, as opposed to zero MFNMost-favoured-nation (MFN) is a status or level of treatment accorded by one state to another in international trade. Under the WTO agreements, countries cannot normally discriminate between their trading partners. -—
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—- . tariffs. Approximately 30% of agricultural trade outside of MFN and preferential regimes tends to face fairly high tariffs with remaining tariffs averaging nearly 20% (figure 1). In manufacturing, preferential access is also significant, as the remaining trade weighted tariffs amount to 8%. In contrast, preferential access is of limited importance to trade in natural resources, as trade in this category is largely tariff-free under MFN rates, with remaining trade-weighted tariffs of about 3%.
Source: UNCTAD calculations based on -—
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Rising tariffs in green sectors make it harder for countries to move up the value chain
In sectors, such as renewable energy and electric mobility, tariff structures affecting critical minerals play a crucial role in shaping supply chain dynamics, investment flows, and the competitiveness of developing economies in global markets.
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Group of economies | Stage 1: Raw minerals | Stage 2: Processed minerals | Stage 3: Battery materials | Stage 4: Battery packs | Stage 5: Electric vehicles |
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Developed economies | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
Developing economies excluding LDCs | 3.9 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 9.4 | 17.0 |
Least Developed Countries (LDCs) | 6.6 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 14.1 | 16.5 |
All economies | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 9.8 | 15.0 |
Source: WTO, ITCInternational Trade Centre, UNCTAD, -—
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Note: Simple average of the three latest available years, except for Switzerland, for which the reference year is 2024.
Recent developments in tariff wars have cast uncertainty over the future of multilateralism. In early April 2025, the United States imposed a baseline 10% tariff on almost all imports to the country and sharply raised duties on certain Chinese products to rates exceeding 100%. These new measures build on earlier protectionist policies, which were intensified during the United States–China trade tensions of 2018–2019 and further reinforced amid the global supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the strain of coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 discovered in December 2019. Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses which may cause illness in animals or humans. In humans, several coronaviruses are known to cause respiratory infections ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). The most recently discovered coronavirus causes coronavirus disease COVID-19 -—
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—-. pandemicCommonly described by the WHO as ‘the worldwide spread of a new disease’, no strict definition is provided. In 2009, they set out the basic requirements for a pandemic: • New virus emerges in humans
• Minimal or no population immunity
• Causes serious illness; high morbidity/mortality
• Spreads easily from person to person
• Global outbreak of disease.
The US Centre for Disease Control uses a similar approach, but with a reduced set of criteria. It is very difficult to gauge whether the spread of a disease should be termed an outbreak, epidemic or pandemic. In other words, when to declare a pandemic isn’t a black and white decision -—
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—-.. Tariff escalationHigher tariffs on processed goods than raw materials from which they are produced. underscores a shift towards a more fragmented global trading environment, thereby reinforcing the urgent need to strengthen multilateral efforts to safeguard open trade flows.
References
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