Since 2020, the world has faced many crises, including climate change, the war in Ukraine, the ongoing war in Gaza, other geopolitical tensions, and food and energy insecurity, that disrupt trade flows and threaten progress towards the SDGs. The growth of global merchandise trade is slowing, and geopolitical fragmentation hampers industrialization efforts of developing economies.
In the report to the Sixteenth Conference of UNCTAD, Rebeca Grynspan, Secretary-General of UNCTAD underscored the role of trade as a critical engine for economic transformation, particularly for developing economies striving for inclusive growth and resilience -—
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—-. Strengthening productive capacities through trade is key to reducing vulnerability and enabling structural transformation.
In 2024, developing economies accounted for 41% of global exports, up slightly from 40% in 2012. This stability underscores their enduring role in global trade, even amid shifting economic and geopolitical conditions.
SDG target 17.11 calls for a significant increase in developing countries’ exports, with a specific aim to double the share of LDCs in global exports from 1% in 2011 to 2% by 2020, a goal reaffirmed in the Istanbul -—
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—- Programmes of Action. Yet more than a decade later, progress has fallen short. In 2024, LDCs accounted for just 1.03% of global exports, up only marginally from 0.96% in 2012. These figures highlight the persistent structural barriers — limited diversification, weak infrastructure and small productive bases — that continue to constrain export growth in LDCs.
By contrast, SIDS increased their combined share of global exports of goods and services from 3.0% in 2012 to 3.4% in 2024, driven by gains in tourism, digital services, and creative sectors. While their overall share remains modest, this upward trend suggests the growing potential of services-led development pathways in vulnerable economies.
Source: UNCTADstat -—
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Note: Data on trade in services for the latest year are preliminary annual estimates based on the most recent quarterly figures (BPM6). Data on trade in goods for the latest year are estimates based on Comtrade, international and national sources.
Source: UNCTADstat -—
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Note: Data on trade in services for the latest year are preliminary annual estimates based on the most recent quarterly figures (BPM6). Data on trade in goods for the latest year are estimates based on Comtrade, international and national sources.
Source: UNCTADstat -—
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—-, UN Comtrade Database -—
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Note: Year 2024 figures are provisional, based on national statistics. China export dependence on the United States is calculated as China exports to the United States over total China exports. The United States import dependence on China is calculated as United States imports from China over total United States imports. The overall trade interdependence is calculated as bilateral trade (imports + exports) of United States and China over the sum of total trade of the two economies.